Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2035
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
WN 2035 · HOU → BNA
departs 5:13 PM CT · arrives 7:11 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 65%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 31%
Thu 11/19 37%
Fri 11/20 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±7 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.78 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.