Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2050
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 2050 · TPA → DAL
departs 6:28 PM ET · arrives 8:14 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Sat 11/14 39%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 30%
Thu 11/19 47%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, 1.4 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.45 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.