Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2081
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 2081 · HOU → DEN
departs 7:31 PM CT · arrives 8:58 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 36%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 29%
Tue 11/17 28%
Wed 11/18 25%
Thu 11/19 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
6%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
DEN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.62 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 6.33333 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.