Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2119
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 2119 · HOU → MAF
departs 4:04 PM CT · arrives 5:41 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 49%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 26%
Tue 11/17 19%
Wed 11/18 24%
Thu 11/19 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
6%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at MAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to MAF?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
4pm departures from HOU are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.41 in
MAF (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.