Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2128
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 2128 · HOU → MCO
departs 4:17 PM CT · arrives 7:33 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 100%
Sat 11/14 35%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 34%
Thu 11/19 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
57%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed – in 24h
–
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed – in 24h
–
57%
Yes 57%
No 43%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.62 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.