Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2129
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
WN 2129 · HOU → MCO
departs 6:02 PM CT · arrives 9:17 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 33%
Tue 11/17 26%
Wed 11/18 29%
Thu 11/19 44%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±6 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.78 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.