Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2141
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 2141 · HOU → MSY
departs 7:38 PM CT · arrives 8:57 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 26%
Thu 11/19 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±8 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
57%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
57%
Yes 57%
No 43%
Arrive at MSY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
HOU usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.62 in
MSY (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 7,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.