WN 2153 · PHX → BUR

departs 9:20 PM MT · arrives 9:51 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BUR?

On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 9pm departures from PHX are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUR (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2153 · PHX → BUR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUR?