Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2163
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
WN 2163 · MDW → IND
departs 9:14 PM CT · arrives 11:18 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 8:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 48%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 33%
Tue 11/17 29%
Wed 11/18 37%
Thu 11/19 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at IND more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IND?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
9pm departures from MDW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 5 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
IND (destination)
Gusts 7 kt
Ceiling 4,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.