Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 22
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 22 · HOU → DAL
departs 11:27 AM CT · arrives 12:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 18%
Tue 11/17 17%
Wed 11/18 23%
Thu 11/19 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±4 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, 1.4 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.41 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.00 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.