Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2474
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
WN 2474 · DAL → MCI
departs 6:41 PM CT · arrives 8:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 81%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 33%
Tue 11/17 23%
Wed 11/18 26%
Thu 11/19 44%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
66%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.5 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.49 in
MCI (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.