WN 2476 · DAL → TUL

departs 10:11 PM CT · arrives 11:25 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±2 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TUL?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 10pm departures from DAL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TUL

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.55 in

TUL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2476 · DAL → TUL

Odds over time

How late will it get to TUL?