Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 251
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
WN 251 · HOU → ATL
departs 5:47 PM CT · arrives 8:51 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 28%
Tue 11/17 23%
Wed 11/18 23%
Thu 11/19 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±6 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
58%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.7 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.68 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.