Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2524
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Today
WN 2524 · SAT → DAL
departs 8:22 PM CT · arrives 9:36 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 11/16 30%
Thu 11/19 45%
Fri 11/20 46%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±3 pts
−10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 1.5 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
SAT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SAT (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.67 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.