Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2557
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 2557 · LGA → BNA
departs 6:10 PM ET · arrives 7:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 78%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 60%
Tue 11/17 45%
Wed 11/18 46%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±6 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
6pm departures from LGA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BNA (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.