WN 2561 · LGA → DAL

departs 6:44 PM ET · arrives 9:23 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±7 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from LGA are often late

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.55 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2561 · LGA → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?