Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2623
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 2623 · LIH → HNL
departs 3:36 PM HT · arrives 4:31 PM HT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Sat 11/14 13%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 22%
Tue 11/17 16%
Wed 11/18 19%
Thu 11/19 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave LIH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Other factors
↓
This flight has been late 5% of the time recently
↓
LIH usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LIH (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
HNL (destination)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 2,900 ft Visibility 9.33333 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.