Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2818
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 2818 · MSY → DAL
departs 7:21 PM CT · arrives 8:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 51%
Sat 11/14 30%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 31%
Thu 11/19 46%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed – in 24h
–
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed – in 24h
–
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, 1.0 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.00 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.