Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2843
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 2843 · DEN → OKC
departs 10:57 AM MT · arrives 1:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 15%
Thu 11/19 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at OKC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OKC?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at OKC that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↓
Cloud base down to 967 ft forecast at DEN that day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
OKC (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.89 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.