Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2916
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 2916 · OAK → PDX
departs 1:10 PM PT · arrives 3:00 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 25%
Tue 11/17 22%
Wed 11/18 22%
Thu 11/19 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at PDX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at OAK that day
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into PDX at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
OAK (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.37 in
PDX (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.