Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3023
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 3023 · DAL → LGA
departs 7:07 PM CT · arrives 11:32 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 53%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 44%
Tue 11/17 40%
Wed 11/18 47%
Thu 11/19 46%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
69%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed – in 24h
–
69%
Yes 69%
No 31%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.19 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.