Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3045
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 3045 · SLC → DAL
departs 10:48 AM MT · arrives 2:27 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 17%
Tue 11/17 6%
Wed 11/18 8%
Thu 11/19 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±4 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, 1.4 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.43 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.