Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3193
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 3193 · AUS → SLC
departs 2:33 PM CT · arrives 4:25 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Sat 11/14 30%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 37%
Thu 11/19 44%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed – in 24h
–
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.0 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
2pm departures from AUS are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.05 in
SLC (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.