Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 322
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 322 · DEN → COS
departs 3:42 PM MT · arrives 4:30 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Sat 11/14 30%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 30%
Thu 11/19 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at COS more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±5 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at COS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at COS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to COS?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Other factors
↓
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at DEN that day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
COS (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.