WN 3315 · LAS → ABQ

departs 10:43 PM PT · arrives 1:21 AM MT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

81% chance · ±0 pts +48 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ABQ?

On time or early
18%
15–30 min late
56%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 10pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ABQ (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3315 · LAS → ABQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to ABQ?