Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3339
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 3339 · AUS → HRL
departs 4:03 PM CT · arrives 5:24 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 57%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 32%
Thu 11/19 49%
Odds over time
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at HRL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HRL?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
4pm departures from AUS are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.53 in
HRL (destination)
Gusts 25 kt
Ceiling 3,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.