Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3472
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 3472 · SJC → EUG
departs 3:17 PM PT · arrives 4:57 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 29%
Thu 11/19 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at EUG more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EUG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at EUG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EUG?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at SJC that day
↑
3pm departures from SJC are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
SJC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SJC (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 2,767 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.30 in
EUG (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.