Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3549
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
WN 3549 · SMF → PSP
departs 4:56 PM PT · arrives 6:33 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 25%
Thu 11/19 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at PSP more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±1 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave SMF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at PSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PSP?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at SMF that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PSP
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SMF (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.33 in
PSP (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.