WN 3565 · PIT → TPA

departs 6:44 PM ET · arrives 9:25 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±4 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TPA?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into TPA at that hour are often late

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

TPA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3565 · PIT → TPA

Odds over time

How late will it get to TPA?