Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3601
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
WN 3601 · RDU → AUS
departs 6:51 PM ET · arrives 9:21 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 31%
Thu 11/19 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±4 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
RDU (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.81 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.