Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3616 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow

WN 3616 · BWI → GSP

departs 8:02 PM ET · arrives 9:41 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 AM ET · 41h before departure

Arrive at GSP more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GSP?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 8pm departures from BWI are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GSP (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3616 · BWI → GSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to GSP?