Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3682
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
WN 3682 · SAN → AUS
departs 6:59 PM PT · arrives 11:54 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 99%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 51%
Thu 11/19 50%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
53%
chance · ±5 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
53%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 1.0 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.