Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3707
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 3707 · SAN → HOU
departs 2:39 PM PT · arrives 7:54 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 36%
Tue 11/17 25%
Wed 11/18 27%
Thu 11/19 44%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±8 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
2pm departures from SAN are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
HOU (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.62 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.