WN 3743 · SAT → DAL

departs 9:31 PM CT · arrives 10:47 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±4 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 1.5 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ SAT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.67 in

DAL (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3743 · SAT → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?