WN 378 · AUS → MDW

departs 6:40 AM CT · arrives 9:16 AM CT

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

5% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 39% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.1 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from AUS are usually not late

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.08 in

MDW (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 378 · AUS → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?