Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 385
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 385 · AUS → HRL
departs 8:16 PM CT · arrives 9:37 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 67%
Sat 11/14 33%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 29%
Tue 11/17 25%
Wed 11/18 28%
Thu 11/19 44%
Odds over time
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed – in 24h
–
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at HRL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HRL?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
HRL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.26 in
HRL (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.