Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3882
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
WN 3882 · SJC → HNL
departs 5:31 PM PT · arrives 9:20 PM HT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 33%
Thu 11/19 46%
Fri 11/20 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±4 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
SJC (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.24 in
HNL (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.