Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 408
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 408 · HOU → PNS
departs 8:22 PM CT · arrives 10:03 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 28%
Tue 11/17 24%
Wed 11/18 28%
Thu 11/19 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
64%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed – in 24h
–
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Arrive at PNS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to PNS?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
28%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.5 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from HOU are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PNS
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.45 in
PNS (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.