Schedule: FAA flight plans.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4377
SCHEDULED
Sunday, November 15 Today
WN 4377 · ABQ → AUS
departs 5:25 PM MT · arrives 8:18 PM CT
Your aircraft is N8644C (B738), coming in as WN 2983 from PHX: still at PHX, due off about 4:29 PM MT, 4 min before departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 11/16 24%
Tue 11/17 20%
Wed 11/18 21%
Thu 11/19 40%
Fri 11/20 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
88%
chance · ±0 pts
+52 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
88%
Leave 15+ late
99%
Arrive 1h+ late
51%
Cancelled
17%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 52 min after the scheduled departure, about 39 min late from the gate after a typical 13-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 87%.
+52 pts
88%
Yes 88%
No 12%
Leave ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 52 min after the scheduled departure, about 39 min late from the gate after a typical 13-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 88%.
+46 pts
99%
Yes 99%
No <1%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +37 pts in 24h
+37 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
11%
15–30 min late
48%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
17%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ABQ (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.84 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.