Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4484
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
WN 4484 · OAK → PSP
departs 3:01 PM PT · arrives 4:36 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 33%
Tue 11/17 28%
Wed 11/18 24%
Thu 11/19 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at PSP more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±4 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at PSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PSP?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at OAK that day
↑
PSP is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PSP
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
OAK (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.28 in
PSP (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.