WN 4567 · BWI → RSW

departs 5:52 PM ET · arrives 8:49 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 8:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±3 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RSW?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 39% of the time recently

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RSW

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RSW (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4567 · BWI → RSW

Odds over time

How late will it get to RSW?