Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4708 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 15

WN 4708 · SNA → DEN

departs 2:37 PM PT · arrives 6:04 PM MT

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 45h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±4 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ SNA is prone to delays

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA

Weather at each end

SNA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4708 · SNA → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?