Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 5
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 5 · HOU → CRP
departs 12:20 PM CT · arrives 1:19 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 14%
Thu 11/19 18%
Fri 11/20 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±4 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at CRP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to CRP?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.7 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 733 ft forecast at CRP that day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.68 in
CRP (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 733 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.