Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 783
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
WN 783 · PUJ → MCO
departs 4:46 PM AST · arrives 6:44 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Sat 11/14 35%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 31%
Tue 11/17 19%
Wed 11/18 20%
Thu 11/19 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave PUJ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
Weather at each end
PUJ (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.