Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 808
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
WN 808 · OAK → HNL
departs 4:14 PM PT · arrives 7:58 PM HT
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 33%
Tue 11/17 28%
Wed 11/18 26%
Thu 11/19 35%
Fri 11/20 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±4 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at OAK that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into HNL at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
OAK (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.37 in
HNL (destination)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 3,600 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.