Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 930
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 930 · SJC → PDX
departs 3:02 PM PT · arrives 4:56 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 31%
Tue 11/17 24%
Wed 11/18 25%
Thu 11/19 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at PDX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
3pm departures from SJC are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
SJC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SJC (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 2,767 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.30 in
PDX (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.