WN 964 · BUR → OAK

departs 6:28 PM PT · arrives 7:51 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?

53% chance · ±5 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OAK?

On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at OAK that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR

Weather at each end

BUR (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OAK (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.32 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 964 · BUR → OAK

Odds over time

How late will it get to OAK?