Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 991
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 991 · BWI → DAL
departs 8:08 PM ET · arrives 10:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 56h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 56%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 30%
Thu 11/19 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
57%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed – in 24h
–
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed – in 24h
–
57%
Yes 57%
No 43%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.00 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.