YX 4722 · LGA → CLE

departs 7:33 PM ET · arrives 9:20 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

57% chance · ±0 pts +29 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLE?

On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
31%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
11%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ YX's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLE (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4722 · LGA → CLE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLE?