Schedule: FAA flight plans.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5821
SCHEDULED
Today
YX 5821 · LGA → ORF
departs 12:18 PM ET · arrives 1:48 PM ET
Your aircraft is N824MD (E170), coming in as YX 5764 from BUF: landed 11:13 AM ET.
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 2h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±0 pts
+22 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
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How late will it get to ORF?
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On time or early
55%
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15–30 min late
25%
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30 min–1 hour late
0%
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1–2 hours late
6%
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Over 2 hours late
<1%
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Cancelled
12%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.